Investing
Current Market Outlook
BLOG POST: Our Current Market Outlook is “Uptrend Under Pressure” and our light is “yellow.“
James Jon Benet
July 11, 2025
Our Current Market Outlook was DOWNGRADED to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of 3pm on Friday, July 11th with the SPX closing at 6,264.14. The rally is still very much intact but sudden weakness in certain growth stocks and specific sectors during the past week has caused a downgrade for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. This may work out to just be a flat to slightly down period of profit taking (not to mention trade tariff concerns) over the next few weeks as we head into the start of Q2 earnings releases. The stock market’s future direction is still dependent on tariff decisions, among other things but is now facing the start of the traditionally weakest quarter of the year. Stay alert for a test of the 21-day mav’s on the major indexes.
“There was a certain man without a dependent, having neither a son nor a brother, yet there was no end to all his labor. Indeed, his eyes were not satisfied with riches and he never asked, “And for whom am I laboring and depriving myself of pleasure?” This too is vanity and it is a grievous task.
Two are better than one because they have a good return for their labor. For if either of them falls, the one will lift up his companion. But woe to the one who falls when there is not another to lift him up.“
Ecclesiastes 4:8-10 NASB 1995
Game plan: Expect good results in the upcoming earnings season and a fruitful resolution to the tariff machinations, but prepare for a test of the 21-day mav’s of the main stock market indexes. Pray for discernment from the Lord Jesus regarding stewarding His wealth, and for the peace of Jerusalem (Psalm 122:6-7). May they prosper who love her.
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The information in this article is based on data obtained from recognized services and sources and is believed to be reliable. Any opinions, projections or recommendations in this report are subject to change without notice and are not intended as individual investment advice. Not to be used as legal or tax advice. ©2025 Triumphant Portfolio Management, LLC.
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