The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Market Moves into a Correction Our Current Market Outlook was downgraded to “Market in a Correction” with a red light as of 11:30am on Thursday, November 20th with the SPX at 6,695.09. Our “Core Four” sports 3 red and 1 yellow light as of last night’s close. The VIX is confirming the negative math of the market. The six-month rally in the stock market

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment This is no Trick and Certainly not a Treat. Our Current Market Outlook was downgraded to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of 3pm on Thursday, October 30th with the SPX at 6,845.46. The rally is still intact after a patch of recent weakness. However, Powell’s latest rate cut failed to ignite further demand for equities. Additionally, President Trump’s meeting with the

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Fall is in the Air. Let’s Hope not in the Market The stock market is in a precarious position. The “math of the market” (aka. the footprints of money) is showing an improving, yet, not ideal condition for equity prices. There is much at stake this week as well as the President travels aboard in Asia (now), meets with President Xi (hopefully Thursday),

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Pennant Race, AI Race and the Human Race This has been a very heavy month for many. For the human race in particular. The unconscionable, horrific murder on September 10th of Mr. Charlie Kirk will long be painfully remembered, as it should be. We grieve for Erika and his kids. We grieve for the young people of our nation. We grieve for those

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Cotton Candy, Anyone? I remember growing up in Illinois and going to the “Heart of Illinois” fair each summer.  The taste of fresh squeezed lemonade and the smell of corn dogs are forever imprinted in my memory. Then there was the cotton candy! Delectable to the eyes and taste buds and addictive for all of us kids. The truth was that while the

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Risks are Rising The only thing hotter than the summer heat wave lately has been the stock market (and maybe the Brewers in the MLB – unfortunately for my Cardinals). The stock market’s recovery from the CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NPR, etc. wrongly induced April tariff scare-off (I mean, sell-off) has been astonishing. (Although not as astonishing as the aforementioned networks shabby attempts

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Special Brief “short-staffed” Vacation Time Bulletin Our Current Market Outlook was DOWNGRADED to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of 3pm on Friday, July 11th with the SPX closing at 6,264.14. The rally is still very much intact but sudden weakness in certain growth stocks and specific sectors during the past week has caused a downgrade for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. This

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment All-Time Highs and Blue Skies As the calendar draws to a close on the first 6 months of Trump 2.0, the major indexes are pushing out to all-time highs as if they didn’t have a care in the world and the only thing contrary was the hot summertime breeze. Of course, the experienced investor knows that the stock market usually climbs a wall

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Nuclear: the “New” Green? On May 1st, on our C.M.O landing page, we shared, Our Current Market Outlook was upgraded to “Market in an Uptrend” with a green light at the close on May 1st with the SPX ending over its 50-day mav and closing at 5,604.14. The new rally was confirmed with a “Follow-Through Day” (FTD) on April 22nd and further confirmed by

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment A Test of the 50-day Moving Average Draws Near On April 9th, on our C.M.O landing page, we shared, “Our Current Market Outlook was upgraded to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as 3pm on April 9th, with the SPX @ 5,320.15. A pause in certain tariffs by President Trump has sparked a massive rally and brought the stock market a big step

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Red Alert, Again: Will the Market go out Like a Lamb Being Devoured by a Lion? Our Current Market Outlook was downgraded to “Market in a Correction” with a red light as of the close on March 27th, with the SPX @ 5,693.31, after falling to stay over the 21-day and suffering immediate “distribution days” on the 26th & 27th. The new rally attempt is

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Yellow Alert: A Bounce (Rally Attempt) is Under Way Our Current Market Outlook was upgraded to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of the open at 9:30am ET today, March 24th, with the SPX @ 5,726.86, after powering ahead on weekend tariff hopes. The major indexes are attempting a new rally but have yet to officially confirm with a “Follow-Through Day” (FTD).

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Red Alert: Weakness is Growing Last week we wrote, “The stock market is rightfully-so confused and at a crossroads. Little or no price progress has been made in the popular indexes since around December 6th – that’s 2.5 months! This sideways action won’t last indefinitely. A breakout or a breakdown is inevitable. Leading stocks have been flashing some bullish bias, but landmines among

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment To DOGE, or not to DOGE?  Is that really the question nowadays? To allow DOGE to continue doing its thing, or not? Man! Things are happening so fast in DC that it’s making Jimmy John’s look slow by comparison. And it’s causing certain folks to “freak!” Stop and think: who would be opposed to the very needed and sorely overdue light of transparency

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Here We Go! “President Trump 2.0”  Things are moving very quickly right now and will likely continue in that manner for some time. According to President Trumps’s inauguration speech, the new Administration has many bold initiatives. Any casual observer can already see they are building on their momentum. “Let’s go, Mr. President 2.0!” The stock market is responding well to the change in

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Happy New Year! Be Alert!  Happy new year, indeed! Welcome to a new year potentially filled with new opportunities. Change is coming and to the stock market too. A new Administration with likely very bold initiatives and a lot of momentum. As Americans, this is a time to get on board and do our part rather than dig our heels in and resist.

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah! It’s seen as the most wonderful time of the year for a reason. In many ways it truly is, as long as worshiping the Savior is in the center of it. But there are many that are struggling this time of year because “life happens” and it’s often painful and messy. Jesus knows our pain. He is acquainted

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Yay! the Stock Investors Sing! Welcome to December and the end of another year! I was speaking with a friend just recently about how it seemed to me that as I get older the years move faster… but I don’t! (LOL) No doubt, I am not alone in that feeling.  What a wonderful time of year the CHRISTmas season is! A festive time

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment I am Thankful for… Happy Thanksgiving! What a special day and time of the year. A day set aside to give thanks for our blessings. But not to just give thanks, but to be thankful towards God – our benevolent Creator and Father. I am thankful for… my Savior, Jesus, and the abundant new life He has given me. my wife and our

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Welcome Back #45! May You do well as #47! A truly historic day for the stock market, and for our country! President Donald Trump will return to the White House in what appears to have been a strong sweep on election night. Investors responded in a resounding way by sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its biggest single day post-election gain since

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Tomorrow is All Saints Day Most American’s are unaware of the significance (let alone the existence) of All Saints Day each November 1st. Yet, in many countries around the world it is observed and celebrated by millions of faith-minded people. In its simplest form, ASD is, “a day is dedicated to the saints of the Church, that is, all those who have attained

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment High-Yo, Silver! Away! More of our team has been traveling again lately. Admittedly, working from “the road” is remarkably easy nowadays thanks to all sorts of different technologies. (We thank the Lord for the inspiration/inventions and for the skills/dedication He has given to millions of folks in this area.) But it still feels good to be back at our own desks. I remember

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment T-Minus 27 and Counting… As the election nears, anticipation (anxiety for some) is building. In addition to that, Hurricane Milton is on the verge of hitting Tampa while the Hurricane Helene clean up continues. Part of our team has been traveling on business over the past several days and observed a lot of economic activity on the highways and byways of the east

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment NC Needs Your Help/ Helene Aftermath is Awful Autumn is normally a very festive time of the year here on the east coast but this year has been tragically marred by Hurricane Helene. There are so many deaths and so much destruction – the images from the storm are just gut-wrenching! The mountain communities of North Carolina have been hit particularly hard. Personally,

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment What Does the Fed Know? Our original title was going to be “Now that was Political.” Of course, that is in reference to the Fed’s 0.50% interest rate cut last Wednesday with just less than 50 days to go until the election. Historically, the Fed tries to stay out of politics and will make its moves well before or wait till after the

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment The Market’s Next Direction? It’s Debatable Our Current Market Outlook has been upgraded to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of 2:30pm today, 09/11/24, with the SPX @ 5,518.19. While the Nasdaq continues to trade under its all-important 50-day mav, the S&P500 has moved back above its 50-day mav (so far). The bulls are trying to stop the decline and rally the indexes

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment An Early Fall?  I love the colors of autumn! I’ve heard certain reports predicating an early fall this year. Early or not I just hope it is a visually brilliant and elongated one. More color and for longer! The stock market “fall” appears to be showing up right on time, though. Historically, September is not good for investors’ wealth. Now I get it:

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Leaves Aren’t the Only Things that Fall in September/October Welcome to September! What a beautiful time of the year! Cooler temps, bonfires, pennant races, sweatshirts and football games – all a part of a wonderful new season: Fall. But historically leaves aren’t the only things that drop in autumn- stocks often do too. First things first: Friday’s trade during the last half hour

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Is the “Powell Put” in? What is a “put?” Simply stated: a financial instrument intended to limit downside price risk. With his Jackson Hole speech last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell appears to have effectively put a “put” in under the stock market in the form of future interest rate cuts in the event of softening corporate earnings (and falling stock prices). Why

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Up: At Least Temporarily In our last post we posed the question: Where do we go from here? The stock market, which is in the middle of a new rally attempt, is answering the question and it appears to be “UP, at least temporarily.” Our Current Market Outlook was upgraded to “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light as of the close yesterday

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Where do we go from Here? The stock market is in the middle of a new rally attempt and is waiting for an official “follow through day” (FTD) to confirm the new rally. Long time readers of this post know that not all FTD’s work. In other words, just because a FTD happens and confirms the new rally attempt, it does not automatically

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Opposite of Fed day, Indeed As posted on our C.M.O landing page yesterday, “our Current Market Outlook has been downgraded to “Market in a Correction” with a red light as of 11:00am on 08/01/24 with the SPX @ 5,487.80). Our Core Four has 1 green and 3 red lights, with a VIX that is surging above its own 50-day mav.  The S&P500 and

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Biggest Fed Meeting Ever? Some are saying that tomorrow’s Fed decision has the potential to be huge. Maybe the biggest meeting ever… at least since the last time it was the biggest. We don’t know about all that, but we do agree that a lot is at stake this week. Can the Fed cut rates right before an election and not look intentionally

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Say it isn’t so, Joe We are grieved for the American people. Our nation deserves better than this. The leaders on the DNP (as well as their minions in the press corps) have done a grave disservice to not only their party but to the American people at large. Our election (selection) process shouldn’t be run as a high-drama game or an overly

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Rotation, Rotation, Rotation / Fight! Fight! Fight! Everyone knows the three most important words in real estate are: “location, location, location!” Well, in the stock market it appears that the three most important words are “rotation, rotation, rotation!” And if you think about it, they are very similar. “Location” is where everyone wants to be now, and “rotation” is where institutions are going

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment The Debt Clock Remember back when we used to hear a lot about the “Debt Ceiling?” At certain times in history, it was all over the news and you couldn’t get away from it. Truth is many Americans believed there was such a thing and that it mattered. They even hoped Congress would respect it and stay under it. Now before you laugh

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment The Declaration of Independence Question: Do they have the 4th of July in England? Answer: Yes, it comes between the 3rd and the 5th. Now what if the question asked, “Do they celebrate…?” What a difference one word makes! The same is true when discussing the Declaration of Independence. Several years ago, our Triumphant team made a declaration of independence when we transitioned

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Another Big PCE Number is Coming on Friday If a week without a big economic release or a Fed meeting would seem rather unusual now, this week won’t disappoint. Brace yourself for “another big PCE number” on Friday (insert YAWN). Be careful! The moment most participants get bored with key economic releases is the moment they matter the most. Complacency should be a

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment At New Highs: Caution is Warranted / Happy Father’s Day, Dad? Our Current Market Outlook is “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light (the last signal change was at 10:30am on 05/29/24 with the SPX @ 5,277.66). Our Core Four improved slightly this week to 2 green and 2 red lights. The VIX remains well under its 50-day mav – a short-term positive While

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Hurricane Season Starts and the World Awaits Powell Our Current Market Outlook remains “Uptrend Under Pressure” with a yellow light (the recent signal change came at 10:30am on 05/29/24 with the SPX @ 5,277.66). Our Core Four improved slightly this week to 1 green, 2 yellow and 1 red light. The VIX traded back under its own 50-day mav this week and remains low,