Special Bulletin: May 28, 2025

Nuclear: the “New” Green?

On May 1st, on our C.M.O landing page, we shared, Our Current Market Outlook was upgraded to “Market in an Uptrend” with a green light at the close on May 1st with the SPX ending over its 50-day mav and closing at 5,604.14. The new rally was confirmed with a “Follow-Through Day” (FTD) on April 22nd and further confirmed by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing over their 50-day mavs. A test of that area is now underway. Our Core Four signaled a change to green with 1 yellow and 3 green lights. The VIX (a quicker, early facet of our Core Four) actually confirmed a buy (green) condition a day earlier (April 30th) with a bullish tie-breaker close. While this remains a risky area for the stock market, the Core Four signal has gone green. The stock market’s future direction is still very much dependent on tariff decisions.

Since that upgrade, the stock market has charged over 5% higher and the key indexes have each moved up and over all 4 of their main mavs. The VIX has settled in under its own 50-day mav. That’s the good news. 

The bad news? Well, lately there hasn’t been much. Additionally, the major indexes are comfortably above their respective 200-day mavs. As the saying goes, “nothing good happens under the 200-day.” Keep an eye on this technical aspect for a clue to the stock market’s future direction.

Today our Current Market Outlook is still “Market in an Uptrend” with a green light as it has been since May 1st when the SPX was at 5,604.14. Our Core Four is green with 1 yellow and 3 green lights. 

Tonight’s Nvidia EPS news will be market moving. Beware: An immediate negative reaction by the S&P 500 causing it to slash downward through its 21-day and 200-day mavs would be awful for the bulls. But a positive response to the release that propels the major indexes to all-time highs would be hated by the bears. Which camp are you in? Which camp is your portfolio positioned for? Prepare accordingly.

Finally, as things heat up for the energy sector with the summer air conditioning demand coming (not to mention the AI energy need for blockchain and data centers, etc.) the President, with a stroke of a pen, has made nuclear energy relevant again. Last Friday the President signed four EO’s paving the way for a major build out in nuclear infrastructure going forward. How ironic, too! Even the “greenies” are seeing green. “Go nuke, baby! Go nuke!” 

“But as for me, I am like a green olive tree in the house of God; I trust in the lovingkindness of God forever and ever.”

“They were told not to hurt the grass of the earth, nor any green thing, nor any tree, but only the men who do not have the seal of God on their foreheads.”

Psalm 52:8 & Rev 9:4 NASB 1995

Game plan: Refresh your stops and exit strategy and study how the major indexes respond to what Nvidia shares and any resulting test on the major mavs. Pray for discernment from the Lord Jesus and for the peace of Jerusalem (Psalm 122:6-7). May they prosper who love her.

Note: You can learn more about The Triumphant Core Four risk management system by clicking here.

Have a Triumphant day! ®