Archives: Current Market Outlook

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Is He Worthy? He is! As the first quarter comes to an end, this is a great time for reflection. The year has started off well, as far as the markets are concerned. Even the Presidential political process has firmed up. Much is at stake in the remaining 9 months. More on that below. While the quarter was very solid, the major indexes

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Back to Green, but don’t get Comfortable All-time highs are hardly the place where an investor should get aggressive. Having said that, if you think about it, the stock market has been hitting ATH’s our whole lives. At least that is the mantra of the “buy and hold” crowd. Traditionally stock market outcomes show that new highs beget new highs… until they don’t

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Beware the “Violent-3” Market participants, traders especially, are aware of the term “shakeout.” There’s a particular form of shakeout that we are focusing on today and at TPM we call it the “violent-3.”  As its name implies, a “violent-3” (or V-3) is a sharp, violent move down in the stock market. In a large majority of cases, it lasts 3 trading days and

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  The Fate of the Union Enjoy/ĕn-joi′/ To receive pleasure or satisfaction from. *  I do not enjoy political theater. Union /yoo͞n′yən/ The act of uniting or the state of being united. * We are, after all, called the United States. A second definition of union sounds timelier and preferable: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Time for March Madness in the Market? It’s that time of year again already! The Superbowl is over, spring training is underway, and the “brackets” are coming together. Who’s your favorite? Are they hot right now, or just a perennial powerhouse that shows up when it’s prime time? Or are you the agnostic, analytical type that looks at all the stats and enters

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  All Eyes on Nvidia and AI My grandson & I have recently begun enjoying launching Estes rockets. The thrill of seeing his rockets soar into the bright blue sky with a head snapping speed is exhilarating and captivating for both of us- for the whole family. Watching them come back down (which they do quickly) is a bit more nerve-racking. Will the wind

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  A Shot Across the Bow? Froth. Euphoria. Complacency. Three words that every investor/trader needs to be able to identify. Or, ignore them at your own portfolio’s peril.  Ravenous bullishness is not a reason to “sell all and head for the hills.” It is true that excessive bullishness can last for weeks, even months, before finally yielding to a sharp correction. It isn’t the

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Will Pitchers & Catchers Please Prepare to Report? You may be wondering why write a post about baseball during the week of the Superbowl. For most fans, the season is all but over. All that remains is who gets the “bling.” I grant you; this year’s game should be a great one between 2 dominant and talented teams, but football is a winter

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Opposite the Fed Day? Many investors are aware of the term “opposite the Fed day.” It has been observed that often (a good majority of instances) the stock market will do the opposite of its violent move from the Fed rate announcement day on the day after. So, with that tidbit today should be up. Voila! 🙂 Today is also the first day

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  The January Effect is Fading? Failing? Our internal indicators, as measured by our “Core Four,” have quickly shifted back to yellow. A VIX that is creeping up and an elevated investor sentiment reading are the culprits. However, except for a couple days of “stalling” price action on the S&P500 this week, the market’s uptrend still seems intact. But our “Core Four” is detecting