Archives: Current Market Outlook

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment Will this “Subpeak” Lead to a “Vertical Violation,” aka Crash? Where, oh where, can the volume be? That was the original title of this post but the potential for an eminent sharp price decline in the stock market necessitated the new title. Up volume is to a bull market in stocks what oxygen is to your lungs. Without it, you can’t last for

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment May the Fourth be with You We don’t believe in luck. It is obvious to us that God gives favor, or blessings, and that Providence is a real factor at work in the world. So, while Star Wars was a lot of fun, the real “Force” has created and is sustaining the entire universe. May that force, Jesus, be with you. It is

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment As Serious as a Heart Attack As the human heart is in desperate need of strong blood flow to remain healthy and to work properly/fruitfully, the same is true of the capital markets, and in particular of equities.  We seem to be at a “who’s gonna blink first” moment. Big investors are sure rate cuts are coming. It’s the life-blood of stocks! They

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment A Rare Technical Occurrence Last Monday we updated our website to our “red” warning stop light and shared on our C.M.O. landing page (and on our Linked-In social media account like usual) this update, “Our Current Market Outlook has been downgraded to “Market in a Correction” with a red light as of 1:15pm on 04/15/24 (SPX 5,110.77). The general stock market indexes are testing

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment A Catalyst: Has it Arrived? Last week we wrote, “We see a “low (downward) pressure” system fast approaching for the stock market. The question now is will it be just a gentle shower or a more violent storm?”  That question is being answered today, Saturday, April 13th. Due to yesterday’s news of a possible Iranian attack on Israel over this weekend, we waited

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment April Showers or Stormy Weather? We see a “low (downward) pressure” system fast approaching for the stock market. The question now is will it be just a gentle shower or a more violent storm? The market seems to be sputtering on the diminishing fumes of rate-cut hopes for June. The stock market (as measured by the major indexes) remains priced for perfection. At

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Is He Worthy? He is! As the first quarter comes to an end, this is a great time for reflection. The year has started off well, as far as the markets are concerned. Even the Presidential political process has firmed up. Much is at stake in the remaining 9 months. More on that below. While the quarter was very solid, the major indexes

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Back to Green, but don’t get Comfortable All-time highs are hardly the place where an investor should get aggressive. Having said that, if you think about it, the stock market has been hitting ATH’s our whole lives. At least that is the mantra of the “buy and hold” crowd. Traditionally stock market outcomes show that new highs beget new highs… until they don’t

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  Beware the “Violent-3” Market participants, traders especially, are aware of the term “shakeout.” There’s a particular form of shakeout that we are focusing on today and at TPM we call it the “violent-3.”  As its name implies, a “violent-3” (or V-3) is a sharp, violent move down in the stock market. In a large majority of cases, it lasts 3 trading days and

The Triumphant Core Four NYSE Internals Moving Averages Professional Selling Investor Sentiment  The Fate of the Union Enjoy/ĕn-joi′/ To receive pleasure or satisfaction from. *  I do not enjoy political theater. Union /yoo͞n′yən/ The act of uniting or the state of being united. * We are, after all, called the United States. A second definition of union sounds timelier and preferable: A combination so formed, especially an alliance or confederation of people, parties, or political